Reading the market regime before prices move
For each indicator: how it is read and where it goes wrong, a chart computed from its own formula, and an indicator to read with it. The limit is part of the definition: a tool used outside its context produces worse decisions than having none. Completely free, no sign-up.
It shows which way price is heading and how strongly. Most of it lags by nature, and it errs in sideways markets.
Price above it = uptrend, below it = downtrend. Its slope matters more than its position.
A fast line crossing above a slow one = rising momentum. The gap between them measures its strength.
Above 25 = a real trend · below 20 = sideways. It does not tell the direction.
The institutional execution benchmark: above it = buyers are paying more than average.
The position of the dots sets the direction of the trailing stop.
Aroon-Up above 70 with Down below 30 = an emerging uptrend.
A middle ground between the simple and exponential averages in speed and smoothness.
Closer to price than the ordinary exponential average at turning points.
The fastest to react in the moving average family.
The smoothest line in the family. It shows the broad trend.
It whipsaws less in sideways markets, where fixed averages fail.
A MAMA/FAMA crossover signals a turn in the cycle.
High smoothness with less lag than the triangular average.
Above zero the uptrend leads, below it the downtrend leads · and distance from zero shows the strength of the trend, not its direction.
Finer control over how fast the stop accelerates.
Above −DI = buyers lead.
Above +DI = sellers lead.
Raw material, not a signal: -DI and then ADX are built from it. When it rises, selling pressure is widening.
Counterpart of the negative line: +DI is built from it. A rise means buying pressure is widening.
The raw ADX before smoothing.
Smoother than ADX · for classifying regimes, not for timing.
It measures the speed and stretch of a move. It works in a range and errs when it reads a strong trend as a reversal.
Above 70 overbought · below 30 oversold.
A cross above zero confirms a trend, and the bars measure how fast it is picking up.
A calibrated version of momentum, suited to comparing assets.
A cross in the extreme zone is stronger than merely reaching it.
Above +100 unusual strength · below −100 unusual weakness.
Above −20 overbought · below −80 oversold.
Read it exactly like MACD. Its value is that changing the average type slows the signal or speeds it up, depending on the asset.
Reacts fastest. Suited to short timeframes.
The more sensitive of the two. It catches extremes inside extremes.
Its signal tells you the direction of acceleration.
Above 1 up, below it down.
A zero cross is a trend signal, and a divergence is an early warning.
It gives fewer false divergences than a single-window oscillator.
It measures who won the candle: the buyer or the seller.
±50 usual extreme limits.
Comparable across symbols with different prices · unlike MACD.
It measures how wide the gap between the averages is.
It measures the size of the move, not its direction. Stop distance and position size are built on it.
Basis for stop placement: a stop tighter than 1×ATR gets hit by noise.
A shrinking range comes before expansion · a tight range warns of a coming move.
Lets you compare the volatility of a $20 stock with one at $800.
The building block of ATR · shows instantaneous volatility.
It asks whether volume joins the move. Its divergence from price is its best-known warning.
Its divergence from price is the best-known early warning: price rises while OBV falls = a rally without participation.
Rising with price confirms it · a divergence between them is a warning.
Above 80 / below 20 is an extreme backed by volume · more reliable than RSI alone.
A zero cross shows when the accumulation balance changed.
Looks for a cycle in price and measures its length and phase. It fails when there is no cycle at all.
The two waves crossing suggests a cycle top or bottom.
A filter that says which indicator family fits right now.
It calibrates the windows of the other indicators automatically.
It separates the trend component from the cycle.
A simple reference for the center of the range.
The center of the actual range, not of the closes.
It tells you where we are in the cycle, not where we are going.
Raw material for building custom filters.
US economic data that moves rates and markets. It arrives late and gets revised, so read it as a trend, not a single number.
The best-known inflation gauge · it moves rate expectations directly.
The central bank's main policy tool. It drives all short-term rates.
The release that moves the market most · published the first Friday of the month.
Lagging by nature, but a pillar of the Federal Reserve's mandate.
The price of risk-free money · the base for valuing every asset. When it rises, it presses on growth.
Two negative quarters in a row = the conventional definition of a recession.
Above the 2% target pushes the central bank to tighten.
A more precise gauge of living standards than the total.
The fastest pulse of consumption, which is two-thirds of the US economy.
A leading indicator of business and investment confidence.
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Indicators are measuring tools, not orders to execute. None of them alone makes a decision. The value is in independent evidence lining up with the macro setting, which is why each indicator here comes with another one to read beside it, not a lookalike that repeats its reading.
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