Reading the market regime before prices move
Four patterns detected by calculation, measured on 18,187 real candles across 60 symbols. Returns are measured 5 candles after each appearance, in the direction the pattern claims.
⚠ Half of what you read about candlesticks has never been measured. This is what our data says, not what the books say.
Historical success 51% over 285 occurrences. Works, with a thin margin.
Does not work in this sample. The average return is negative in the claimed direction, meaning the pattern points opposite to what happens.
Works, with a thin margin. It beat chance in this sample, which does not mean certainty.
Works, with a thin margin. It beat chance in this sample, which does not mean certainty.
Does not work in this sample. The average return is negative in the claimed direction, meaning the pattern points opposite to what happens.
⚠ Spotting a pattern is not an entry signal. Check its success rate above before you give it any weight. Two of these four do not work at all. A symbol opens its card with its daily chart (for members), and the name opens the pattern's explanation.
Method: Each pattern is defined by an explicit math rule with no room for interpretation (engulfing: a body that engulfs the one before · hammer and shooting star: a shadow at least twice the body). We scan the full history, measure the candle close 5 after each occurrence, and count the return in the claimed direction, so a bearish pattern counts as a win when price falls. We publish no rate for a pattern seen fewer than 20 times. In the statistics, "hammer" and "shooting star" are shapes without context. In the latest-candle list we name the shape by the direction of the 5 sessions before it: a hammer after a rise is a hanging man, and a shooting star after a fall is an inverted hammer. ⚠ The sample covers 60 symbols over a single period. A result in a rising market may differ in other markets.
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