Reading the market regime before prices move

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Pre-market

XOP signal performance

3 closed trades · Oct 22, 2026 to Oct 22, 2026 · Options · Every closed trade is published here: winners and losers together, no cherry-picking.

An illustrative portfolio that started with $3,000 and risked 10% per trade on XOP alone would now be $2,954.89 (-1.5%)
Win Rate0%0 winners · 3 losers
Average winner+0%
Average loser-5%
Best trade+-1.7%
Worst trade-8.8%
Why trades closed · Exit Reason 3 Structural Invalidation More than half of the closes came from Structural Invalidation: the reason for entry broke down, so we exited, not because the target was reached. The rate above measures the realized return at exit, not how often a trade reached its target.

Portfolio curve: XOP only

3 closed trades · from Oct 22, 2026 to Oct 22, 2026 · each point is one trade, in order of closing

Fixed risk of 10% per trade, compounded over time, using the same method as the public record so the results stay comparable. Illustrative, not a promise of return.

All closed XOP trades

DateSignalTypeResult
2026-10-22 XOP CALL $200 call -8.8%
2026-10-22 XOP CALL $200 call -4.6%
2026-10-22 XOP CALL $200 call -1.7%