Reading the market regime before prices move

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Pre-market

COF signal performance

5 closed trades · Oct 16, 2026 to Oct 21, 2026 · Options · Every closed trade is published here: winners and losers together, no cherry-picking.

An illustrative portfolio that started with $3,000 and risked 10% per trade on COF alone would now be $3,053.60 (+1.8%)
Win Rate20%1 winners · 4 losers
Average winner+41%
Average loser-5.6%
Best trade+41%
Worst trade-7.7%
Why trades closed · Exit Reason 1 Target Hit 4 Structural Invalidation More than half of the closes came from Structural Invalidation: the reason for entry broke down, so we exited, not because the target was reached. The rate above measures the realized return at exit, not how often a trade reached its target.

Portfolio curve: COF only

5 closed trades · from Oct 16, 2026 to Oct 21, 2026 · each point is one trade, in order of closing

Fixed risk of 10% per trade, compounded over time, using the same method as the public record so the results stay comparable. Illustrative, not a promise of return.

All closed COF trades

DateSignalTypeResult
2026-10-21 COF PUT $210 put -6.1%
2026-10-21 COF PUT $210 put -6.6%
2026-10-21 COF PUT $210 put -7.7%
2026-10-21 COF PUT $210 put -2%
2026-10-16 COF CALL $200 call +41%