Reading the market regime before prices move

Skip to content
Last close 00:43 UTC
QQQ 743.57 -0.34%
IWM 276.71 -0.43%
RSP 213.30 +0.06%
VIX 15.28 +0.46%
SVIX 30.11 +0.14%
VXX 16.68 -0.06%
SMH 588.12 -0.49%
SOXX 543.90 -0.18%
XLF 54.82 -0.42%
XLE 67.17 +1.76%
GLD 381.67 -0.13%
Brent 125.44 -0.06%
WTI 96.24 +0.11%
Dollar index 121.60 +0.13%
US2Y 4.79% −1 basis point
US5Y 5.00% −2 basis points
US10Y 5.21% −3 basis points
US20Y 5.60% −5 basis points
US30Y 5.56% −4 basis points
Bitcoin 83,266.00 +0.12%
After hours

CMG signal performance

4 closed trades · Oct 9, 2026 to Oct 9, 2026 · Options · Every closed trade is published here: winners and losers together, no cherry-picking.

An illustrative portfolio that started with $3,000 and risked 10% per trade on CMG alone would now be $2,977.86 (-0.7%)
Win Rate0%0 winners · 4 losers
Average winner+0%
Average loser-1.9%
Best trade+-1.1%
Worst trade-2.6%
Why trades closed · Exit Reason 4 Structural Invalidation More than half of the closes came from Structural Invalidation: the reason for entry broke down, so we exited, not because the target was reached. The rate above measures the realized return at exit, not how often a trade reached its target.

Portfolio curve: CMG only

Fixed risk of 10% per trade, compounded over time, using the same method as the public record so the results stay comparable. Illustrative, not a promise of return.

All closed CMG trades

DateSignalTypeResult
2026-10-09 CMG PUT $30.8 put -1.6%
2026-10-09 CMG PUT $30.8 put -1.1%
2026-10-09 CMG PUT $30.8 put -2.6%
2026-10-09 CMG PUT $30.8 put -2.1%