Reading the market regime before prices move

Skip to content
Last close 00:43 UTC
QQQ 743.57 -0.34%
IWM 276.71 -0.43%
RSP 213.30 +0.06%
VIX 15.28 +0.46%
SVIX 30.11 +0.14%
VXX 16.68 -0.06%
SMH 588.12 -0.49%
SOXX 543.90 -0.18%
XLF 54.82 -0.42%
XLE 67.17 +1.76%
GLD 381.67 -0.13%
Brent 125.44 -0.06%
WTI 96.24 +0.11%
Dollar index 121.60 +0.13%
US2Y 4.79% −1 basis point
US5Y 5.00% −2 basis points
US10Y 5.21% −3 basis points
US20Y 5.60% −5 basis points
US30Y 5.56% −4 basis points
Bitcoin 83,266.00 +0.12%
After hours

Composite indicators

Risk/Reward Ratio

R:R

The first number is what you risk, the second is what you target. Also called: R:R, R/R, return/risk. Finviro's term: “R:R”.

What this ratio is

Risk/Reward Ratio (R:R · Risk:Reward) weighs a trade before you enter it: the distance from entry to target divided by the distance to the stop. A ratio of 1:3 means you risk one dollar to seek three. It puts the trade's design in one number you know before the first cent is paid.

Its fixed partnership with the win rate

On its own it means nothing: 1:3 is excellent if you are right 40% of the time and a loser if you are right 20%. The deciding formula: required break-even rate = 1 ÷ (1 + R:R). So a 1:3 trade breaks even at only a 25% hit rate, and every point above it is net profit. The two numbers are the two pans of one scale.

The condition for honesty

An honest ratio is built from real levels: a stop behind a structural level that truly invalidates the idea, and a target at a level that can be reached within the trade's time frame. Not a stop squeezed in to flatter the ratio (it gets hit by noise), and not a fantasy target placed to complete the shape.

Hypothetical example

Entry at $102, stop behind a structural low at $99, target at measured resistance at $111: risk of $3 for a reward of $9. A ratio of 1:3 breaks even at a 25% hit rate. A method that hits 45% with this geometry compounds steadily, even while losing more than half the time.

Common mistake

Flatter the ratio by moving the stop, not by choosing the trade: tightening the stop to the middle of the noise creates a paper 1:5 that is hit before the idea has time to work. A good ratio is picked from the market (an entry close to the invalidation level), not fabricated in the calculator.

Where to see it on the platform

The signal model calculates it automatically from each idea's levels, and the trading journal compares the planned ratio with the one actually achieved.

Questions about the Risk/Reward Ratio

What does the Risk/Reward Ratio mean?
The first number is what you risk, the second is what you aim for. It is often written R:R, R/R or reward/risk. The platform's standard is “Risk/Reward Ratio”.
How does the Risk/Reward Ratio show up on a trading platform?
It appears as “R:R”. You see it in the options chain or the order screen.