Reading the market regime before prices move
Every number here is computed from the traded NVDA options chain. The call wall is where dealer hedging accumulates above spot and caps upside, the put wall is its mirror below, and the gamma flip is the level where hedging stops damping moves and starts amplifying them.
| Strike | Calls | Puts | Today's volume | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 217.50 | 4,937 | 12,937 | 14,264 | Put |
| 220.00 | 68,761 | 47,822 | 73,980 | Call |
| 222.50 | 7,069 | 7,334 | 25,806 | Put |
| 225.00 | 76,589 | 25,395 | 59,842 | Call |
| 227.50 | 38,723 | 12,102 | 48,027 | Call |
| 230.00 | 133,184 | 17,934 | 166,375 | Call |
| 232.50 | 39,744 | 981 | 138,554 | Call |
| 235.00 | 96,294 | 5,028 | 196,496 | Call |
| 237.50 | 26,815 | 569 | 85,371 | Call |
| 240.00 | 160,670 | 3,061 | 163,969 | Call |
| 242.50 | 11,614 | 73 | 29,531 | Call |
| 245.00 | 68,928 | 1,128 | 53,455 | Call |
| Day | Price | Gamma flip | Call wall | Put wall |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 | 219.96 | 196.14 | 220.00 | 215.00 |
| 2026-08-07 | 223.00 | 201.73 | 225.00 | 222.50 |
| 2026-08-10 | 219.10 | 206.42 | 220.00 | 215.00 |
| 2026-08-11 | 218.13 | 209.54 | 220.00 | 215.00 |
| 2026-08-12 | 222.49 | 210.42 | 225.00 | 220.00 |
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Max pain strike | 217.50 |
| Put/Call ratio · today's volume | 0.60 |
| Put/Call ratio · open interest | 0.74 |
| 0DTE gamma flip | 220.91 |
| 0DTE contracts in chain | 126 |
| Total contracts read | 712 |
السعرُ 230.36 يعلو نقطةَ الانقلاب 210.89 بفارق 9.23٪، مسافةٌ مريحة. Positioning is clearly positive: dealer hedging buys dips and sells rallies, so price tends to grind within a range rather than jump. Flipping this state يحتاج هبوطاً يتجاوز 9.2٪، أي أنّه ليس سيناريو الجلسة الأقرب. والسعرُ في منتصف المسافة بين الجدارين (220.00 و240.00)، أبعدُ نقطةٍ عن either, and the position that calls for the least flow-driving hedging.
أكبرُ تجمّعٍ لعقود الشراء عند 240.00 (4.18% from price)، ولعقود البيع عند 220.00 (-4.50% from price)، والمسافةُ بينهما 9.09٪، a **wide** range. That does not imply a move is coming, only that the walls are far enough apart not to confine NVDA during the session, so flow leads rather than hedging.
صافي تعرّض الغاما لـNVDA يبلغ 1 مليار، حجمٌ معتبَرٌ يُبقي للتحوّط أثراً clearly present without governing the move on its own. A 1% move calls for about 4.36 مليون shares of hedging. So read the levels below alongside volume, not in isolation from it.
and this reading is built on 712 contracts in the chain.
Over the last 27 days of tracking (1,640 archived snapshots), NVDA stayed above the gamma flip in 100% of readings، وتنقّلت نقطةُ الانقلاب نفسُها بين 200.39 و216.59، أي بنطاق 8.08٪، وهو ما يعني أنّ the level moves with the market and does not serve as a fixed reference across days، and net exposure today is above the period average (897.65 مليون).