Reading the market regime before prices move

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Pre-market
CVX/USDT · SPOT

Convex Finance (CVX) analysis: trend, liquidity and two scenarios

$2.588 +21% in 24h

A report that gathers what you need before you decide: trend, liquidity, levels and two scenarios with their conditions. The analysis uses closed candles, and the price above is live.

Last scan

The reading in one line

Overall trend (4h)

Rising

Price vs EMA-20 and EMA-50

Daily bias

Positive 6/7

Above EMA-20 Above EMA-50 Above EMA-200 RSI above 50 Positive MACD histogram DMI+ above DMI− and ADX ≥ 20 Outperforming Bitcoin for 30 days

Liquidity (4h)

5.43×

Aggressive buying 50.3%

Candlestick pattern (4h)

No reversal pattern

Latest closed candle has no directional pattern

Strength vs Bitcoin

+17.8 points

30-day return difference · and 7 days +22.7

Agreement score (4h)

46/100

A ranking of candidates, not a success rate

TimeframeConfluenceTrendRSIRetracementAccumulationBreakoutEarly moveLiquidity sweep
Hour 34 Rising 79.0 — — — 0 —
4 hours 46 Rising 84.0 — — Needs follow-up 0 —
Daily 61 Rising 63.6 — — Strongest 0 —
CVX vs Bitcoin · 90 days of 100

The gap between the two lines is the relative strength · daily closes

Why this agreement score? What each factor contributed (4h)

Blue is what was met and gray is what remains of the factor's weight · the score is a ranking, not a success rate

Technical indicators on three timeframes

Indicator center: choose what you want to see
IndicatorHour4 hoursDaily
RSI (14) 79.084.063.6
MACD histogram +0.0301+0.0472+0.0179
Stochastic %K / %D 94.8 / 92.596.5 / 87.097.3 / 66.9
ADX / DMI+ / DMI− 54.1 / 43.7 / 5.540.9 / 42.4 / 5.219.3 / 28.5 / 14.0
CCI (20) 158.1276.3118.0
MFI (14) 88.395.552.4
ROC (12) +18.04%+26.26%+18.92%
ATR (14) $0.06915 · 2.69%$0.09722 · 3.78%$0.1802 · 7.50%
EMA-20 / 50 / 200 $2.3266 / $2.1974 / $2.0647$2.1462 / $2.0739 / $2.0658$2.0924 / $2.0492 / $1.8739
DMA-50 / 200 $2.1608 / $2.0068$2.0112 / $2.0913$2.1143 / $1.6938
Bollinger (20, 2) $1.9935 – $2.5754$1.788 – $2.4039$1.8335 – $2.392
SuperTrend (10, 3) Rising · $2.3215Rising · $2.1618Rising · $1.8146
Nearest support / resistance $2.349 / Unavailable$2.375 / Unavailable$2.1583 / $2.4595

All values are on the last closed candle · DMA is a simple average and EMA is exponential · the same calculation the scanner uses to rank coins.

Chart: 15 minutes, 1 hour, 4 hours and daily

Support, resistance and the SuperTrend line from the 4h timeframe are drawn on the candles. Turn on RSI, MACD, VWAP, Bollinger and ATR and the moving averages from the toolbar.

CVXUSDT —
Levels drawn on CVXUSDT
LevelRoleDescription
No levels drawn yet.

Fundamentals and market data

Market cap
$240.19M
Rank
#165
24h volume (all exchanges)
$26.77M
24h volume for the USDT spot pair
$3.9M
Circulating supply
93.19M
Max supply
100M
Fully diluted value FDV
$257.73M
Correlation with Bitcoin (90 days)
0.43
7-day performance
+31%
30-day performance
+28%

Source: aggregated coin market-cap data · correlation from daily returns of the USDT pair.

Market flow and liquidity

Aggressive buying (last 6 candles · 4h)

48.0%

No side is winning

Flow score (4h)

74/100

50 neutral · half is aggressive buying, a quarter is Relative Volume (RVOL), and a quarter is the EMA-20 bias

Relative Volume (RVOL)

5.43×

vs 20-candle average

Bid-ask Spread

3.9 basis points (Basis Point)

Tighter means cheaper execution

Depth within ±1%

$35,569 / $19,148

Bid / ask · bid bias 65.0%

Spot order book liquidity map (±3.00% from price)

  1. $2.6624
  2. $2.6559
  3. $2.6495
  4. $2.643
  5. $2.6365
  6. $2.6301
  7. $2.6236
  8. $2.6171
  9. $2.6106
  10. $2.6042
  11. $2.5977
  12. $2.5912
  13. $2.5848
  14. $2.5783
  15. $2.5718
  16. $2.5654
  17. $2.5589
  18. $2.5524
  19. $2.5459
  20. $2.5395
  21. $2.533
  22. $2.5265
  23. $2.5201
  24. $2.5136

Bid bars (buyers) in blue and ask bars (sellers) in orange · the top hundred orders on each side at scan time. Note: this reads a Spot order book. It is not a futures liquidation map.

Futures context: CVX

Funding per 8 hours

+0.0050%

A high positive value means crowding on the upside

Open Interest

$4.48M

24-hour change +115%

Contract gap to the index

−0.030%

Stablecoin-margined perpetual swap

A read on crowding next to the spot market, not a leverage tool · all coins on the futures context page

Monthly performance

Is the current move part of a continuing trend, or did it come after a long stretch of weakness? Each month runs from the first day to the last close (the current month so far).

Return for each calendar month (UTC)

13 months from October 2025 to October 2026 · the current month through the last close

Numbers in a list
  1. Oct 2025 −31%
  2. Nov 2025 −18%
  3. Dec 2025 −11%
  4. Jan 2026 +18%
  5. Feb 2026 −7.5%
  6. Mar 2026 +1.7%
  7. Apr 2026 −6.2%
  8. May 2026 −5.4%
  9. Jun 2026 −33%
  10. Jul 2026 +20%
  11. Aug 2026 +76%
  12. Sep 2026 −3.3%
  13. Oct 2026 +11%

Positive and negative scenario (4h)

Instead of the word 'buy': two conditions. If the first is met, this is the path. If the second is met, that one. The invalidation level tells you when the idea is wrong.

Positives

Key level (resistance)
$2.7178
Confirmation: close above
$2.7421
Possible targets
$2.8637 · $3.0095
Scenario invalidated below
$2.375

Negatives

Key level (support)
$2.375
Confirmation: close below
$2.3507
Possible targets
$2.1931 · $1.9891
Scenario invalidated above
$2.7178

Positives

  • Daily bias is positive
  • High volume on a rising candle
  • SuperTrend bullish

Risks

  • RSI above 70: overbought
  • Price is more than twice ATR away from EMA-20

Short summary

CVX on the 4-hour timeframe leans toward the bullish scenario. The bullish case is confirmed by a close above $2.7421, with a first possible target at $2.8637, and it is invalidated below $2.375. The bearish case is confirmed by a close below $2.3507, with a first possible target at $2.1931.

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Analysis of other coins

The report shows the data and does not decide for you. All content is educational and is not an investment recommendation. Cryptocurrencies are highly volatile and you may lose your capital. Back to market state · High agreement