Reading the market regime before prices move

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ARK/USDT · SPOT

ARK (ARK) analysis: trend, liquidity and two scenarios

$0.2139 +14% in 24h

A report that gathers what you need before you decide: trend, liquidity, levels and two scenarios with their conditions. The analysis uses closed candles, and the price above is live.

Last scan

The reading in one line

Overall trend (4h)

Rising

Price vs EMA-20 and EMA-50

Daily bias

Positive 6/7

Above EMA-20 Above EMA-50 Above EMA-200 RSI above 50 Positive MACD histogram DMI+ above DMI− and ADX ≥ 20 Outperforming Bitcoin for 30 days

Liquidity (4h)

2.62×

Aggressive buying 49.7%

Candlestick pattern (4h)

No reversal pattern

Latest closed candle has no directional pattern

Strength vs Bitcoin

+42.1 points

30-day return difference · and 7 days +22.7

Agreement score (4h)

51/100

A ranking of candidates, not a success rate

TimeframeConfluenceTrendRSIRetracementAccumulationBreakoutEarly moveLiquidity sweep
Hour 46 Sideways 51.9 Yes — — 20 —
4 hours 51 Rising 64.4 — — — 15 —
Daily 46 Rising 61.0 — — — 50 —
ARK vs Bitcoin · 90 days of 100

The gap between the two lines is the relative strength · daily closes

Why this agreement score? What each factor contributed (4h)

Blue is what was met and gray is what remains of the factor's weight · the score is a ranking, not a success rate

Technical indicators on three timeframes

Indicator center: choose what you want to see
IndicatorHour4 hoursDaily
RSI (14) 51.964.461.0
MACD histogram −0.0025+0.0043−0.0011
Stochastic %K / %D 25.2 / 25.053.2 / 67.270.2 / 36.9
ADX / DMI+ / DMI− 46.5 / 19.5 / 15.737.1 / 30.0 / 10.949.9 / 38.9 / 12.0
CCI (20) −48.2134.155.1
MFI (14) 68.172.366.8
ROC (12) −2.78%+15.99%+5.63%
ATR (14) $0.01438 · 6.73%$0.01323 · 6.29%$0.02377 · 10.84%
EMA-20 / 50 / 200 $0.2145 / $0.2019 / $0.1857$0.1937 / $0.1871 / $0.1914$0.1913 / $0.1788 / $0.1642
DMA-50 / 200 $0.1961 / $0.1807$0.1803 / $0.2051$0.1802 / $0.1428
Bollinger (20, 2) $0.199 – $0.2377$0.1536 – $0.2234$0.1576 – $0.2341
SuperTrend (10, 3) Rising · $0.1895Rising · $0.1883Falling · $0.2299
Nearest support / resistance $0.2031 / $0.242$0.1949 / $0.2118$0.2073 / $0.2338

All values are on the last closed candle · DMA is a simple average and EMA is exponential · the same calculation the scanner uses to rank coins.

Chart: 15 minutes, 1 hour, 4 hours and daily

Support, resistance and the SuperTrend line from the 4h timeframe are drawn on the candles. Turn on RSI, MACD, VWAP, Bollinger and ATR and the moving averages from the toolbar.

ARKUSDT —
Levels drawn on ARKUSDT
LevelRoleDescription
No levels drawn yet.

Fundamentals and market data

Unavailable: the coin is outside the top 250 by market cap. Correlation with Bitcoin 0.26.

Market flow and liquidity

Aggressive buying (last 6 candles · 4h)

51.0%

No side is winning

Flow score (4h)

75/100

50 neutral · half is aggressive buying, a quarter is Relative Volume (RVOL), and a quarter is the EMA-20 bias

Relative Volume (RVOL)

2.62×

vs 20-candle average

Bid-ask Spread

14.0 basis points (Basis Point)

Tighter means cheaper execution

Depth within ±1%

$18,099 / $5,748

Bid / ask · bid bias 75.9%

Spot order book liquidity map (±3.00% from price)

  1. $0.2201
  2. $0.2195
  3. $0.219
  4. $0.2184
  5. $0.2179
  6. $0.2174
  7. $0.2168
  8. $0.2163
  9. $0.2158
  10. $0.2152
  11. $0.2147
  12. $0.2142
  13. $0.2136
  14. $0.2131
  15. $0.2126
  16. $0.212
  17. $0.2115
  18. $0.211
  19. $0.2104
  20. $0.2099
  21. $0.2094
  22. $0.2088
  23. $0.2083
  24. $0.2078

Bid bars (buyers) in blue and ask bars (sellers) in orange · the top hundred orders on each side at scan time. Note: this reads a Spot order book. It is not a futures liquidation map.

Futures context: ARK

Funding per 8 hours

−1.9329%

A high positive value means crowding on the upside

Open Interest

$3.56M

24-hour change +57%

Contract gap to the index

−4.699%

Stablecoin-margined perpetual swap

A read on crowding next to the spot market, not a leverage tool · all coins on the futures context page

Monthly performance

Is the current move part of a continuing trend, or did it come after a long stretch of weakness? Each month runs from the first day to the last close (the current month so far).

Return for each calendar month (UTC)

13 months from October 2025 to October 2026 · the current month through the last close

Numbers in a list
  1. Oct 2025 −27%
  2. Nov 2025 −4.1%
  3. Dec 2025 −13%
  4. Jan 2026 −15%
  5. Feb 2026 −18%
  6. Mar 2026 −10%
  7. Apr 2026 +6.8%
  8. May 2026 −10%
  9. Jun 2026 −33%
  10. Jul 2026 −10%
  11. Aug 2026 +17%
  12. Sep 2026 +117%
  13. Oct 2026 −8.4%

Positive and negative scenario (4h)

Instead of the word 'buy': two conditions. If the first is met, this is the path. If the second is met, that one. The invalidation level tells you when the idea is wrong.

Positives

Key level (resistance)
$0.2118
Confirmation: close above
$0.2151
Possible targets
$0.2315 · $0.267
Scenario invalidated below
$0.1949

Negatives

Key level (support)
$0.1949
Confirmation: close below
$0.1916
Possible targets
$0.1757
Scenario invalidated above
$0.2118

Positives

  • Daily bias is positive
  • RSI in a zone with room to move (45–65)
  • SuperTrend bullish

Risks

  • High volatility (ATR ≥ 6%)

Short summary

ARK on the 4-hour timeframe leans toward the bullish scenario. The bullish case is confirmed by a close above $0.2151, with a first possible target at $0.2315, and it is invalidated below $0.1949. The bearish case is confirmed by a close below $0.1916, with a first possible target at $0.1757.

Report tools

Change indices Switch the chart timeframe

Analysis of other coins

The report shows the data and does not decide for you. All content is educational and is not an investment recommendation. Cryptocurrencies are highly volatile and you may lose your capital. Back to market state · High agreement