Reading the market regime before prices move

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After hours
CHART PATTERN · Reversal patterns

Three Drives

Three Drives Pattern
Slope: down Timeframe: weeks

Terms on this page: Retracement (Retracement) · Trendline (Trendline) · Invalidation (Structural Invalidation)

Three drives: a chart with a worked exampleWorked example of a Three Drives Pattern over 70 sessions. Trigger at the close of session 56 near $82. Target $76. Invalidation $94.SignalTargetInvalidationFirstSecondThirdC1C2C1-C2 line94$76$60$Volume03570 sessions
Three drives: a chart with a worked exampleWorked example of a Three Drives Pattern over 70 sessions. Trigger at the close of session 56 near $82. Target $76. Invalidation $94.SignalTargetInvalidationFirstSecondThirdC1C2C1-C2 line94$76$60$70$80$90$Volume03570 sessions
A worked example that explains the rule, not a stock price. The circle marks the first close beyond the level. The blue line is the target. The orange line is the invalidation. Prices are in the right-hand column, and sessions sit under the volume bar. Hollow green candles closed above their open, and filled red candles closed below it.

Numbers in the example chart

From the same calculation that draws the shape and writes the "Measuring the target" section below.
Trigger level $82 · at the close of session 56
Target 76$
Invalidation 94$
Chart span 70 sessions

What it is

Three proportional rising drives separated by equally proportional pullbacks, then a break of the line joining the lows of the two pullbacks.

Proportion is the definition: each pullback retraces about 61.8% of the leg before it, each leg runs 1.27 to 1.62 times the pullback before it, and the timing is similar.

When the trigger starts and when it fails

Signal

A close below the line joining the two pullback lows (C1-C2 line) after the third drive.

Invalidation · Structural Invalidation

A close above the top of the third drive.

Reading it stage by stage

  1. First drive A rise that sets the unit length for measuring the next two drives.
  2. First pullback Retraces about 61.8% of the first drive. Its low C1 is the first point on the line that will break.
  3. Second drive and second pullback A higher high of similar length to the first, then a pullback of the same proportion. Its low C2 completes the line.
  4. Third drive and breakdown A third high at the same rhythm, then a close below the C1-C2 line. Before the break, it is just one more drive in an uptrend.

Recognition rules

  • Three higher highs (the first, second and third drives) in an existing uptrend.
  • Each of the two pullbacks (C1 then C2) retraces about 61.8% of the drive before it. The retracement (Retracement) here is approximate, between 56% and 67%.
  • Each leg runs 1.27 to 1.62 times the pullback before it.
  • The drives are close in time, within a fifth of each other, and so are the two pullbacks.
  • Confirmation is a close below the line joining the two pullback lows (C1-C2 line) after the third drive.

Measuring the target

The first target is the low of the second pullback C2, then C1 after it. In the example the C1-C2 line breaks near $82, so the first target is $76, and the pattern fails on a close above the top of the third drive at $94.

Where it fools you

  • Every uptrend makes three higher highs. If length and timing are not proportional, it is a trend, not a pattern. Selling at the third drive before the C1-C2 line breaks may run into a fourth drive.
  • The ratios are approximate. Demand exactly 61.8% and you will never see the pattern. Be too loose and you will see it on every chart. The test is how close the three drives are to each other.
  • The three drives show a trend that is slowing. If the third drive comes on higher volume than the second, demand has not faded yet. The breakdown decides, not the number of highs.

Where to find it on the platform

  • Technical terminal · drawing tools Members only
    Open the daily timeframe for any symbol and draw the pattern yourself. Your drawing is saved per symbol in your browser, and the terminal does not name or detect the pattern.
    • ╱ Trendline C1-C2 line
    • ⇕ Measure Target equals pattern height
We do not detect chart patterns with a numeric rule: telling them apart takes judgment on the chart. Candlestick patterns with a numeric rule are detected daily by the candlestick pattern scanner.

Mirror image: Three Drives to a bottom

The same pattern turned upside down, with the same rules in the opposite direction: what was a top becomes a bottom, and the trigger, target and invalidation all flip direction.

Three Drives to a bottom: a chart with a worked exampleA worked example of the Three Drives to a bottom pattern over 70 sessions. The signal comes at the close of session 56, near $78. Target $84. Invalidation $66.SignalTargetInvalidationFirstSecondThirdC1C2C1-C2 line84$66$100$Volume03570 sessions