Reading the market regime before prices move

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Pre-market
SAGA/USDT · SPOT

SAGA (SAGA) analysis: trend, liquidity and two scenarios

$0.01902 −9.0% in 24h

A report that gathers what you need before you decide: trend, liquidity, levels and two scenarios with their conditions. The analysis uses closed candles, and the price above is live.

Last scan

The reading in one line

Overall trend (4h)

Bearish

Price vs EMA-20 and EMA-50

Daily bias

Negative 2/7

Above EMA-20 Above EMA-50 Above EMA-200 RSI above 50 Positive MACD histogram DMI+ above DMI− and ADX ≥ 20 Outperforming Bitcoin for 30 days

Liquidity (4h)

2.63×

Aggressive buying 49.1%

Candlestick pattern (4h)

Bearish Engulfing

At resistance

Strength vs Bitcoin

+2.6 points

30-day return difference · and 7 days −11.7

Agreement score (4h)

22/100

A ranking of candidates, not a success rate

TimeframeConfluenceTrendRSIRetracementAccumulationBreakoutEarly moveLiquidity sweep
Hour 14 Bearish 26.9 — — — 15 —
4 hours 22 Bearish 27.2 — — — 0 —
Daily 12 Sideways 43.5 — — — 0 Below a low, then back
SAGA vs Bitcoin · 90 days of 100

The gap between the two lines is the relative strength · daily closes

Why this agreement score? What each factor contributed (4h)

Blue is what was met and gray is what remains of the factor's weight · the score is a ranking, not a success rate

Technical indicators on three timeframes

Indicator center: choose what you want to see
IndicatorHour4 hoursDaily
RSI (14) 26.927.243.5
MACD histogram −0.0001−0.0001−0.0009
Stochastic %K / %D 39.8 / 35.620.7 / 24.19.0 / 8.6
ADX / DMI+ / DMI− 31.3 / 10.4 / 39.927.6 / 10.6 / 38.660.8 / 26.3 / 10.5
CCI (20) −204.4−203.0−83.3
MFI (14) 30.727.634.4
ROC (12) −5.57%−9.97%−10.47%
ATR (14) $0.0003858 · 2.01%$0.0007538 · 3.97%$0.00473 · 23.45%
EMA-20 / 50 / 200 $0.02 / $0.0205 / $0.02185$0.02079 / $0.02187 / $0.02336$0.024 / $0.02311 / $0.02984
DMA-50 / 200 $0.02057 / $0.02189$0.02186 / $0.02601$0.02314 / $0.01884
Bollinger (20, 2) $0.01914 – $0.02104$0.01933 – $0.02254$0.01705 – $0.03189
SuperTrend (10, 3) Falling · $0.02022Falling · $0.02163Falling · $0.03275
Nearest support / resistance Unavailable / $0.01962Unavailable / $0.01962$0.01492 / $0.0265

All values are on the last closed candle · DMA is a simple average and EMA is exponential · the same calculation the scanner uses to rank coins.

Chart: 15 minutes, 1 hour, 4 hours and daily

Support, resistance and the SuperTrend line from the 4h timeframe are drawn on the candles. Turn on RSI, MACD, VWAP, Bollinger and ATR and the moving averages from the toolbar.

SAGAUSDT —
Levels drawn on SAGAUSDT
LevelRoleDescription
No levels drawn yet.

Fundamentals and market data

Unavailable: the coin is outside the top 250 by market cap. Correlation with Bitcoin 0.07.

Market flow and liquidity

Aggressive buying (last 6 candles · 4h)

50.6%

No side is winning

Flow score (4h)

50/100

50 neutral · half is aggressive buying, a quarter is Relative Volume (RVOL), and a quarter is the EMA-20 bias

Relative Volume (RVOL)

2.63×

vs 20-candle average

Bid-ask Spread

5.3 basis points (Basis Point)

Tighter means cheaper execution

Depth within ±1%

$20,484 / $25,735

Bid / ask · bid bias 44.3%

Spot order book liquidity map (±3.00% from price)

  1. $0.01957
  2. $0.01952
  3. $0.01947
  4. $0.01942
  5. $0.01938
  6. $0.01933
  7. $0.01928
  8. $0.01923
  9. $0.01919
  10. $0.01914
  11. $0.01909
  12. $0.01904
  13. $0.019
  14. $0.01895
  15. $0.0189
  16. $0.01885
  17. $0.01881
  18. $0.01876
  19. $0.01871
  20. $0.01866
  21. $0.01862
  22. $0.01857
  23. $0.01852
  24. $0.01847

Bid bars (buyers) in blue and ask bars (sellers) in orange · the top hundred orders on each side at scan time. Note: this reads a Spot order book. It is not a futures liquidation map.

Futures context: SAGA

Funding per 8h

+0.0035%

A high positive value means crowding on the upside

Open Interest

$4.84M

24-hour change −9.9%

Contract gap to the index

−0.183%

Stablecoin-margined perpetual swap

A read on crowding next to the spot market, not a leverage tool · all coins on the futures context page

Monthly performance

Is the current move part of a continuing trend, or did it come after a long stretch of weakness? Each month runs from the first day to the last close (the current month so far).

Return for each calendar month (UTC)
Numbers in a list
  1. Oct 2025 −55%
  2. Nov 2025 −17%
  3. Dec 2025 −28%
  4. Jan 2026 −36%
  5. Feb 2026 −17%
  6. Mar 2026 −9.9%
  7. Apr 2026 −38%
  8. May 2026 +5.8%
  9. Jun 2026 −30%
  10. Jul 2026 −2.2%
  11. Aug 2026 +22%
  12. Sep 2026 +67%
  13. Oct 2026 −20%

Positive and negative scenario (4h)

Instead of the word 'buy': two conditions. If the first is met, this is the path. If the second is met, that one. The invalidation level tells you when the idea is wrong.

Positives

Key level (resistance)
$0.01962
Confirmation: close above
$0.01981
Possible targets
$0.02072 · $0.02159
Scenario invalidated below
$0.01784

Negatives

Key level (support)
$0.01784
Confirmation: close below
$0.01765
Possible targets
$0.01671 · $0.01558
Scenario invalidated above
$0.01962

Positives

  • No standout positive factor right now.

Risks

  • Daily bias is negative
  • SuperTrend falling

📝 Short summary

SAGA on the 4-hour timeframe leans toward the bearish scenario. The bullish case is confirmed by a close above $0.01981, with a first possible target at $0.02072, and it is invalidated below $0.01784. The bearish case is confirmed by a close below $0.01765, with a first possible target at $0.01671.

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The report shows the data and does not decide for you. All content is educational and is not an investment recommendation. Cryptocurrencies are highly volatile and you may lose your capital. Back to market state · High agreement