Reading the market regime before prices move

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After hours
HYPE/USDT · SPOT

Hyperliquid analysis (HYPE): trend, liquidity and two scenarios

$79.71 −3.1% in 24h

A report that gathers what you need before you decide: trend, liquidity, levels and two scenarios with their conditions. The analysis uses closed candles, and the price above is live.

Last scan

The reading in one line

Overall trend (4h)

Bearish

Price vs EMA-20 and EMA-50

Daily bias

Unavailable

Liquidity (4h)

0.71×

Aggressive buying 58.2%

Candlestick pattern (4h)

Bearish Harami

At resistance

Strength vs Bitcoin

Unavailable

30-day return difference · and 7 days −6.7

Agreement score (4h)

5/100

A ranking of candidates, not a success rate

TimeframeConfluenceTrendRSIRetracementAccumulationBreakoutEarly moveLiquidity sweep
Hour 5 Bearish 39.0 — — — 30 —
4 hours 5 Bearish 39.7 — — — 30 Below a low, then back
Daily Unavailable: fewer than 60 candles on this timeframe.
HYPE vs Bitcoin · 90 days of 100

The gap between the two lines is the relative strength · daily closes

Why this agreement score? What each factor contributed (4h)

Blue is what was met and gray is what remains of the factor's weight · the score is a ranking, not a success rate

Technical indicators on three timeframes

Indicator center: choose what you want to see
IndicatorHour4 hoursDaily
RSI (14) 39.039.7Unavailable
MACD histogram +0.0191−0.0746Unavailable
Stochastic %K / %D 31.5 / 47.230.8 / 24.9Unavailable
ADX / DMI+ / DMI− 26.1 / 16.7 / 24.833.8 / 12.4 / 30.3Unavailable
CCI (20) −70.2−67.5Unavailable
MFI (14) 43.040.6Unavailable
ROC (12) −0.29%−0.20%Unavailable
ATR (14) $0.8802 · 1.10%$1.6325 · 2.02%Unavailable
EMA-20 / 50 / 200 $80.9806 / $81.8048 / $85.3571$82.7041 / $84.851 / UnavailableUnavailable
DMA-50 / 200 $81.575 / $85.0966$85.1532 / UnavailableUnavailable
Bollinger (20, 2) $79.744 – $82.144$78.5019 – $87.9161Unavailable
SuperTrend (10, 3) Falling · $82.355Falling · $85.5066Unavailable
Nearest support / resistance $79.32 / $80.59$79.48 / $82.9567Unavailable

All values are on the last closed candle · DMA is a simple average and EMA is exponential · the same calculation the scanner uses to rank coins.

Chart: 15 minutes, 1 hour, 4 hours and daily

Support, resistance and the SuperTrend line from the 4h timeframe are drawn on the candles. Turn on RSI, MACD, VWAP, Bollinger and ATR and the moving averages from the toolbar.

HYPEUSDT —
Levels drawn on HYPEUSDT
LevelRoleDescription
No levels drawn yet.

Fundamentals and market data

Market cap
$17.61B
Rank
#11
24h volume (all exchanges)
$768.96M
24h volume for the USDT spot pair
$31.09M
Circulating supply
222.45M
Max supply
1B
Fully diluted value FDV
$75.62B
Correlation with Bitcoin (90 days)
0.47
7-day performance
−9.7%
30-day performance
−0.2%

Source: aggregated coin market-cap data · correlation from daily returns of the USDT pair.

Market flow and liquidity

Aggressive buying (last 6 candles · 4h)

52.2%

No side is winning

Flow score (4h)

35/100

50 neutral · half is aggressive buying, a quarter is Relative Volume (RVOL), and a quarter is the EMA-20 bias

Relative Volume (RVOL)

0.71×

vs 20-candle average

Bid-ask Spread

1.3 basis points (Basis Point)

Tighter means cheaper execution

Depth within ±1%

$737,808 / $698,065

Bid / ask · bid bias 51.4%

Spot order book liquidity map (±1.71% from price)

  1. $81.0133
  2. $80.9
  3. $80.7867
  4. $80.6733
  5. $80.56
  6. $80.4467
  7. $80.3333
  8. $80.22
  9. $80.1067
  10. $79.9933
  11. $79.88
  12. $79.7667
  13. $79.6533
  14. $79.54
  15. $79.4267
  16. $79.3133
  17. $79.2
  18. $79.0867
  19. $78.9733
  20. $78.86
  21. $78.7467
  22. $78.6333
  23. $78.52
  24. $78.4067

Bid bars (buyers) in blue and ask bars (sellers) in orange · the top hundred orders on each side at scan time. Note: this reads a Spot order book. It is not a futures liquidation map.

Futures context: HYPE

Funding per 8h

+0.0050%

A high positive value means crowding on the upside

Open Interest

$376.39M

24-hour change +10%

Contract gap to the index

−0.011%

Stablecoin-margined perpetual swap

A read on crowding next to the spot market, not a leverage tool · all coins on the futures context page

Monthly performance

Is the current move part of a continuing trend, or did it come after a long stretch of weakness? Each month runs from the first day to the last close (the current month so far).

Return for each calendar month (UTC)
Numbers in a list
  1. Sep 2026 −1.1%
  2. Oct 2026 −11%

Positive and negative scenario (4h)

Instead of the word 'buy': two conditions. If the first is met, this is the path. If the second is met, that one. The invalidation level tells you when the idea is wrong.

Positives

Key level (resistance)
$82.9567
Confirmation: close above
$83.3648
Possible targets
$85.745 · $88.12
Scenario invalidated below
$79.48

Negatives

Key level (support)
$79.48
Confirmation: close below
$79.0719
Possible targets
$77.0313 · $74.5826
Scenario invalidated above
$82.9567

Positives

  • No standout positive factor right now.

Risks

  • SuperTrend falling

📝 Short summary

HYPE on the 4h timeframe is moving sideways between the two levels. The positive case is confirmed by a close above $83.3648, with a first possible target of $85.745, and is invalidated below $79.48. The negative case is confirmed by a close below $79.0719, with a first possible target of $77.0313.

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The report shows the data and does not decide for you. All content is educational and is not an investment recommendation. Cryptocurrencies are highly volatile and you may lose your capital. Back to market state · High agreement