Reading the market regime before prices move

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APE/USDT · SPOT

ApeCoin (APE) analysis: trend, liquidity and two scenarios

$0.1422 −3.6% in 24h

A report that gathers what you need before you decide: trend, liquidity, levels and two scenarios with their conditions. The analysis uses closed candles, and the price above is live.

Last scan

The reading in one line

Overall trend (4h)

Bearish

Price vs EMA-20 and EMA-50

Daily bias

Positive 5/7

Above EMA-20 Above EMA-50 Above EMA-200 RSI above 50 Positive MACD histogram DMI+ above DMI− and ADX ≥ 20 Outperforming Bitcoin for 30 days

Liquidity (4h)

0.53×

Aggressive buying 54.6%

Candlestick pattern (4h)

No reversal pattern

Latest closed candle has no directional pattern

Strength vs Bitcoin

+10.5 points

30-day return difference · and 7 days +0.5

Agreement score (4h)

28/100

A ranking of candidates, not a success rate

TimeframeConfluenceTrendRSIRetracementAccumulationBreakoutEarly moveLiquidity sweep
Hour 33 Bearish 37.0 — — — 15 —
4 hours 28 Bearish 43.1 — — — 0 —
Daily 38 Rising 50.8 Yes — — 20 —
APE vs Bitcoin · 90 days of 100

The gap between the two lines is the relative strength · daily closes

Why this agreement score? What each factor contributed (4h)

Blue is what was met and gray is what remains of the factor's weight · the score is a ranking, not a success rate

Technical indicators on three timeframes

Indicator center: choose what you want to see
IndicatorHour4 hoursDaily
RSI (14) 37.043.150.8
MACD histogram −0.0006−0.0004−0.0012
Stochastic %K / %D 12.9 / 18.110.7 / 18.847.1 / 38.9
ADX / DMI+ / DMI− 19.2 / 19.2 / 33.715.5 / 17.5 / 21.321.5 / 23.0 / 20.1
CCI (20) −91.0−52.3−41.3
MFI (14) 42.260.347.7
ROC (12) −6.08%−7.43%−7.69%
ATR (14) $0.002422 · 1.70%$0.005479 · 3.86%$0.01246 · 8.23%
EMA-20 / 50 / 200 $0.1456 / $0.1467 / $0.1483$0.147 / $0.1485 / $0.1472$0.1508 / $0.1473 / $0.1588
DMA-50 / 200 $0.1484 / $0.1494$0.1495 / $0.149$0.1456 / $0.1372
Bollinger (20, 2) $0.139 – $0.1544$0.1359 – $0.1564$0.1385 – $0.1676
SuperTrend (10, 3) Falling · $0.1488Rising · $0.1365Rising · $0.1315
Nearest support / resistance $0.141 / $0.143$0.1347 / $0.1527$0.141 / $0.191

All values are on the last closed candle · DMA is a simple average and EMA is exponential · the same calculation the scanner uses to rank coins.

Chart: 15 minutes, 1 hour, 4 hours and daily

Support, resistance and the SuperTrend line from the 4h timeframe are drawn on the candles. Turn on RSI, MACD, VWAP, Bollinger and ATR and the moving averages from the toolbar.

APEUSDT —
Levels drawn on APEUSDT
LevelRoleDescription
No levels drawn yet.

Fundamentals and market data

Market cap
$142.07M
Rank
#225
24h volume (all exchanges)
$21.59M
24h volume for the USDT spot pair
$2.06M
Circulating supply
1B
Max supply
1B
Fully diluted value FDV
$142.07M
Correlation with Bitcoin (90 days)
0.52
7-day performance
−8.4%
30-day performance
+6.9%

Source: aggregated coin market-cap data · correlation from daily returns of the USDT pair.

Market flow and liquidity

Aggressive buying (last 6 candles · 4h)

48.9%

No side is winning

Flow score (4h)

31/100

50 neutral · half is aggressive buying, a quarter is Relative Volume (RVOL), and a quarter is the EMA-20 bias

Relative Volume (RVOL)

0.53×

vs 20-candle average

Bid-ask Spread

7.0 basis points (Basis Point)

Tighter means cheaper execution

Depth within ±1%

$64,792 / $50,958

Bid / ask · bid bias 56.0%

Spot order book liquidity map (±3.00% from price)

  1. $0.1463
  2. $0.1459
  3. $0.1456
  4. $0.1452
  5. $0.1449
  6. $0.1445
  7. $0.1442
  8. $0.1438
  9. $0.1434
  10. $0.1431
  11. $0.1427
  12. $0.1424
  13. $0.142
  14. $0.1417
  15. $0.1413
  16. $0.141
  17. $0.1406
  18. $0.1402
  19. $0.1399
  20. $0.1395
  21. $0.1392
  22. $0.1388
  23. $0.1385
  24. $0.1381

Bid bars (buyers) in blue and ask bars (sellers) in orange · the top hundred orders on each side at scan time. Note: this reads a Spot order book. It is not a futures liquidation map.

Futures context: APE

Funding per 8 hours

+0.0030%

A high positive value means crowding on the upside

Open Interest

$5.07M

24-hour change −12%

Contract gap to the index

−0.055%

Stablecoin-margined perpetual swap

A read on crowding next to the spot market, not a leverage tool · all coins on the futures context page

Monthly performance

Is the current move part of a continuing trend, or did it come after a long stretch of weakness? Each month runs from the first day to the last close (the current month so far).

Return for each calendar month (UTC)
Numbers in a list
  1. Oct 2025 −25%
  2. Nov 2025 −36%
  3. Dec 2025 −23%
  4. Jan 2026 −24%
  5. Feb 2026 −31%
  6. Mar 2026 −17%
  7. Apr 2026 +85%
  8. May 2026 −13%
  9. Jun 2026 +4.6%
  10. Jul 2026 −7.0%
  11. Aug 2026 +1.0%
  12. Sep 2026 +10%
  13. Oct 2026 +0.6%

Positive and negative scenario (4h)

Instead of the word 'buy': two conditions. If the first is met, this is the path. If the second is met, that one. The invalidation level tells you when the idea is wrong.

Positives

Key level (resistance)
$0.1527
Confirmation: close above
$0.1541
Possible targets
$0.1721 · $0.191
Scenario invalidated below
$0.1347

Negatives

Key level (support)
$0.1347
Confirmation: close below
$0.1333
Possible targets
$0.1319
Scenario invalidated above
$0.1527

Positives

  • Daily bias is positive
  • SuperTrend bullish

Risks

  • ADX below 18: no clear trend

Short summary

APE on the 4h timeframe is moving sideways between the two levels. The positive case is confirmed by a close above $0.1541, with a first possible target of $0.1721, and is invalidated below $0.1347. The negative case is confirmed by a close below $0.1333, with a first possible target of $0.1319.

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Analysis of other coins

The report shows the data and does not decide for you. All content is educational and is not an investment recommendation. Cryptocurrencies are highly volatile and you may lose your capital. Back to market state · High agreement