Reading the market regime before prices move

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USTC/USDT · SPOT

USTC (USTC) analysis: trend, liquidity and two scenarios

$0.00499 −1.0% in 24h

A report that gathers what you need before you decide: trend, liquidity, levels and two scenarios with their conditions. The analysis uses closed candles, and the price above is live.

Last scan

The reading in one line

Overall trend (4h)

Bearish

Price vs EMA-20 and EMA-50

Daily bias

Negative 1/7

Above EMA-20 Above EMA-50 Above EMA-200 RSI above 50 Positive MACD histogram DMI+ above DMI− and ADX ≥ 20 Outperforming Bitcoin for 30 days

Liquidity (4h)

0.99×

Aggressive buying 37.5%

Candlestick pattern (4h)

No reversal pattern

Latest closed candle has no directional pattern

Strength vs Bitcoin

−8.0 points

30-day return difference · and 7 days −1.9

Agreement score (4h)

5/100

A ranking of candidates, not a success rate

TimeframeConfluenceTrendRSIRetracementAccumulationBreakoutEarly moveLiquidity sweep
Hour 4 Bearish 39.4 — — — 0 —
4 hours 5 Bearish 41.8 — — — 15 —
Daily 24 Bearish 43.1 — — — 30 Below a low, then back
USTC vs Bitcoin · 90 days of 100

The gap between the two lines is the relative strength · daily closes

Why this agreement score? What each factor contributed (4h)

Blue is what was met and gray is what remains of the factor's weight · the score is a ranking, not a success rate

Technical indicators on three timeframes

Indicator center: choose what you want to see
IndicatorHour4 hoursDaily
RSI (14) 39.441.843.1
MACD histogram 0.0000+0.0000−0.0001
Stochastic %K / %D 2.4 / 6.31.1 / 6.740.0 / 31.3
ADX / DMI+ / DMI− 22.9 / 23.0 / 20.229.3 / 32.0 / 21.525.1 / 24.9 / 18.7
CCI (20) −92.9−95.0−46.0
MFI (14) 17.373.461.4
ROC (12) −5.54%−3.33%−10.45%
ATR (14) $0.00009951 · 2.01%$0.0001699 · 3.44%$0.0003653 · 6.98%
EMA-20 / 50 / 200 $0.005053 / $0.005075 / $0.005189$0.005086 / $0.005186 / $0.005433$0.005397 / $0.005456 / $0.005792
DMA-50 / 200 $0.005083 / $0.00519$0.005188 / $0.005556$0.005487 / $0.005631
Bollinger (20, 2) $0.00484 – $0.005353$0.004889 – $0.005252$0.004912 – $0.006086
SuperTrend (10, 3) Falling · $0.005252Rising · $0.00489Falling · $0.005939
Nearest support / resistance $0.00483 / $0.005124$0.00475 / $0.00496Unavailable / $0.005399

All values are on the last closed candle · DMA is a simple average and EMA is exponential · the same calculation the scanner uses to rank coins.

Chart: 15 minutes, 1 hour, 4 hours and daily

Support, resistance and the SuperTrend line from the 4h timeframe are drawn on the candles. Turn on RSI, MACD, VWAP, Bollinger and ATR and the moving averages from the toolbar.

USTCUSDT —
Levels drawn on USTCUSDT
LevelRoleDescription
No levels drawn yet.

Fundamentals and market data

Unavailable: the coin is outside the top 250 by market cap. Correlation with Bitcoin 0.58.

Market flow and liquidity

Aggressive buying (last 6 candles · 4h)

51.5%

No side is winning

Flow score (4h)

63/100

50 neutral · half is aggressive buying, a quarter is Relative Volume (RVOL), and a quarter is the EMA-20 bias

Relative Volume (RVOL)

0.99×

vs 20-candle average

Bid-ask Spread

20.1 basis points (Basis Point)

Tighter means cheaper execution

Depth within ±1%

$12,307 / $14,562

Bid / ask · bid bias 45.8%

Spot order book liquidity map (±3.00% from price)

  1. $0.005133
  2. $0.005121
  3. $0.005109
  4. $0.005096
  5. $0.005084
  6. $0.005071
  7. $0.005059
  8. $0.005046
  9. $0.005034
  10. $0.005021
  11. $0.005009
  12. $0.004996
  13. $0.004984
  14. $0.004971
  15. $0.004959
  16. $0.004946
  17. $0.004934
  18. $0.004921
  19. $0.004909
  20. $0.004896
  21. $0.004884
  22. $0.004871
  23. $0.004859
  24. $0.004847

Bid bars (buyers) in blue and ask bars (sellers) in orange · the top hundred orders on each side at scan time. Note: this reads a Spot order book. It is not a futures liquidation map.

Monthly performance

Is the current move part of a continuing trend, or did it come after a long stretch of weakness? Each month runs from the first day to the last close (the current month so far).

Return for each calendar month (UTC)
Numbers in a list
  1. Oct 2025 −29%
  2. Nov 2025 −22%
  3. Dec 2025 +4.9%
  4. Jan 2026 −15%
  5. Feb 2026 −4.0%
  6. Mar 2026 −15%
  7. Apr 2026 +51%
  8. May 2026 +5.0%
  9. Jun 2026 −23%
  10. Jul 2026 −9.2%
  11. Aug 2026 +5.2%
  12. Sep 2026 +11%
  13. Oct 2026 −9.2%

Positive and negative scenario (4h)

Instead of the word 'buy': two conditions. If the first is met, this is the path. If the second is met, that one. The invalidation level tells you when the idea is wrong.

Positives

Key level (resistance)
$0.00496
Confirmation: close above
$0.005002
Possible targets
$0.00521 · $0.005653
Scenario invalidated below
$0.00475

Negatives

Key level (support)
$0.00475
Confirmation: close below
$0.004708
Possible targets
$0.004495 · $0.00424
Scenario invalidated above
$0.00496

Positives

  • SuperTrend bullish

Risks

  • Daily bias is negative

Short summary

USTC on the 4-hour timeframe leans toward the bearish scenario. The bullish case is confirmed by a close above $0.005002, with a first possible target at $0.00521, and it is invalidated below $0.00475. The bearish case is confirmed by a close below $0.004708, with a first possible target at $0.004495.

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Analysis of other coins

The report shows the data and does not decide for you. All content is educational and is not an investment recommendation. Cryptocurrencies are highly volatile and you may lose your capital. Back to market state · High agreement